Facelift To lease again or not, that be the question

Cash is king. If you can afford to buy something outright, do it. It's the cheapest way by far. Risk? None, as long as you don't put all your savings into it.

PCP is the most expensive way of having a car (that isn't yours) for all the reasons DrE gave.
 
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Haha hang on I’m not exactly creating loads of threads telling people that pcp is the devil! I’m responding to a post about car finance,
that I had fundamental disagreements with, in a thread about car finance...!

But fine. For you matey, I’ll promise from this day forth, I’ll never post again about car finance. Just for you ;) I’ll be dead quiet though...!

Interesting though isn’t it. If I posted a way that you could all get £3500 extra discount on new car orders, you would all stand to attention like meerkats! Just saying....
Hi mate, it's blatantly obvious for the OP who started this thread that personally he was begruding/disalusioned by the whole car finance thing,as are most people who start these types of threads, cause they car jump etc or spend too much money on other areas in their life's l personaly would never start a thread on this subject matter..... It borders on personal circumstances, wages, personal debt, and it even can come over as insulting, as there's always always the same people who jump on there soap box and take the moral high ground that car debt is bad, what if this or that happens etc etc,same principles apply to houses /mortgages, you can't legislate as no one is right or wrong here, it's there money.these threads nearly always end up going Pete Tong because of the delicate subject matter
 
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Cash is king. If you can afford to buy something outright, do it. It's the cheapest way by far. Risk? None, as long as you don't put all your savings into it.

PCP is the most expensive way of having a car (that isn't yours) for all the reasons DrE gave.
And your on yer soap box again
 
Lighten up guys... seems everyone was a bit bored and did not have much to do on a cold and wet/snowy January weekend... tbh TV was a bit rubbish last night

Moderator rant over
^ This
Have you bought another car yet @DrEskimo after your 'Supercharged' experience ?
 
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Sorry once again for the thread hijack, although someone may be reading this and finding both points of view of interest.

Yea really good debate thanks! :)
I hope my posts come across as just voicing a different opinion (admittidely usually against more popular opinions on here...). Sometimes tone is hard to gauge in written format..!

Agree with all your points and can understand we’re you are coming from! I obviously take a slightly different approach to it all, but then I have a different attitude towards consumer debt.

^ This
Have you bought another car yet @DrEskimo after your 'Supercharged' experience ?

Nope nothing yet mate. Whilst I’m working in London and getting the train I just have no need for one. Can’t remember if I’ve said before but I have no parking at home, and it’s just more hassle than enjoyment.

Saving lots though, so should have a healthy budget for something fancy in the new future when I do need a car again/ I have a house with a driveway or garage :)
 
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What PCP is going to leave you 5k up!? You're lucky to have any residual at the end never mind 5k. If people were getting 5k up you wouldn't be trying to tell me why PCP is so bad would you...

And even if it magically was... part exchanging the car with them is exactly what a PCP does, you dont buy the car to do that. They don't keep the residual, it goes towards your next car with them. Which is exactly what I'm saying.
Original PCP's were often sold on the basis that you ut down £xk deposit at at the end of the PCP period the GFRV will be lower than the actual value leaving you with a balance towards your next PCP deposit. If you think about it no Finance Company is going to deliberately set a GFRV lower than the real value of the car.
 
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Not really, no. Just stating a fact. If that allowed?

A Fact based on your own circumstances good for you as can pay for your car with cash but keep it longer? l don't have a problem with that at all,but what l do have a problem with is Bad mouthing PCP.....That's through choice as a individual to go down this route @DrEskimo doesnt even have a car now but bible thumps about the severity of interest on PCP,in my eyes that's the price you pay for renting,renting anything is always more expensive than buying out right,but for me personally l can afford it easily and that's the my point affordability.

it seems to be on here with these threads if you rent your car, your a second class citizen,my mother rents her new car this Thursday a wee A1......She could buy 10 of them in cash......but l said dont bother keep yer money in the bank.....just rent
 
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There are arguments for and against but it all comes down to your personal financial circumstances and how you think they might change in the next 1-3 years.

I bought both my and my wifes new cars the middle of last year on PCP deals as I was being made redundant and was not sure what I would be doing next, so PCP made sense as it put a wad of cash in the bank from the last S3 that I owned outright and I always have the option of handing the keys back on one or both. The way it has worked out with redundancy payments and early pension I am now planning to pay off the balance in full in 3-4 months on both cars to save the interest over the next 3 years.
Definitely depends on personal finances! If you can avoid paying 6% or more on a PCP I would always avoid it. There are better deals around than Audi! Frankly if I was worried about finances I wouldn't be buying or PCPing a new Audi!
 
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nothing yet mate. Whilst I’m working in London and getting the train I just have no need for one. Can’t remember if I’ve said before but I have no parking at home, and it’s just more hassle than enjoyment.
Ahh I see
Don't envy you getting the train into London TBH Doc. That must be costing you a fortune !
 
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Well I've finished my popcorn and I am mentally goosed after reading this thread.
 
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Whilst I’m working in London and getting the train I just have no need for one. Can’t remember if I’ve said before but I have no parking at home, and it’s just more hassle than enjoyment.

Saving lots though, so should have a healthy budget for something fancy in the new future when I do need a car again/ I have a house with a driveway or garage

Don't envy you getting the train into London TBH Doc. That must be costing you a fortune !

great night on TV again i see(dancing on ice and call the mid wife) .....maybe should factor public transport costs into the equation or consider buying a bicycle on the government sponsored cycle purchase scheme to save on train fares......I'll get my coat (luckily I have got go go pick my daughter up from the airport now)
 
A Fact based on your own circumstances good for you as can pay for your car with cash but keep it longer? l don't have a problem with that at all,but what l do have a problem with is Bad mouthing PCP.....That's through choice as a individual to go down this route @DrEskimo doesnt even have a car now but bible thumps about the severity of interest on PCP,in my eyes that's the price you pay for renting,renting anything is always more expensive than buying out right,but for me personally l can afford it easily and that's the my point affordability.

it seems to be on here with these threads if you rent your car, your a second class citizen,my mother rents her new car this Thursday a wee A1......She could buy 10 of them in cash......but l said dont bother keep yer money in the bank.....just rent

I think @DrEskimo is right to put the other side of the discussion, after all thats what a discussion forum is all about, when PCP is being touted as a recommended, great way to get a car when in fact it is probably, for most people, the worst finance option. People can finance their car any way they see fit but make sure you take on board a balanced argument for and against PCP.
 
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A Fact based on your own circumstances good for you as can pay for your car with cash but keep it longer? l don't have a problem with that at all,but what l do have a problem with is Bad mouthing PCP.....That's through choice as a individual to go down this route @DrEskimo doesnt even have a car now but bible thumps about the severity of interest on PCP,in my eyes that's the price you pay for renting,renting anything is always more expensive than buying out right,but for me personally l can afford it easily and that's the my point affordability.

it seems to be on here with these threads if you rent your car, your a second class citizen,my mother rents her new car this Thursday a wee A1......She could buy 10 of them in cash......but l said dont bother keep yer money in the bank.....just rent

I’m thumping about it because I’m trying to help people see through the smoke and mirrors of car dealers that it’s just a loan, and you can get cheaper rates elsewhere! It’s a loan for £30k to buy a car. There are cheaper loans and different types that might be more suitable.

It’s true, I have a personal opinion about people having access to these loans where they really shouldn’t be using them, but that’s the same with credit cards, payday loans or even mortgages. We learnt a lot from 2008 and mortgage regulations, but that seems to be lost for automotive industry where seemingly anything goes...

If you want to pay more, be my guest. I honestly couldn’t care less. There are thousands of threads about saving money on GAP insurance by getting it elsewhere, getting large discounts by using online brokers, using indie dealers to get a service, not getting paint protection and using accredited detailers, etc. I don’t care if someone decides to ignore all this advice, but I write about them to help people as part of a forum.

Why are these money saving tips OK, but loans aren’t?
 
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Ahh I see
Don't envy you getting the train into London TBH Doc. That must be costing you a fortune !

Season ticket is £4700 a year, but thankfully I only go in 3days a week so it’s £320 a month. I also have a flexible job that allows me to start and finish mostly whenever I want, so it’s not that bad.
 
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I’m thumping about it because I’m trying to help people see through the smoke and mirrors of car dealers that it’s just a loan, and you can get cheaper rates elsewhere! It’s a loan for £30k to buy a car. There are cheaper loans and different types that might be more suitable.
Not necessarily true, and also a flawed argument.

My PCP rate is lower presently than what my bank was theoretically offering me as a personal loan when I was getting my S3. That's slightly changed now due to changed market conditions, but likely the case for many people depending on their financial circumstances. Also bear in mind you lose a lot of bargaining power when you take cash as opposed to PCP when trying to negotiate with a dealer.
 
@4K

Even if the APR rates are the same, a personal loan will accrue far less interest than a PCP because of the GFV. Since the GFV never decreases, you are paying interest on a higher amount over the term when compared to a traditional loan, which has no GFV and is based on paying the entire amount off.

E.g.
PCP interest on £30k loan @5.9% over 36m with £20k GFV = ~£4,400

Personal loan of £30k @5.9% over 36m = ~£2,700

As for bargaining power, just agree a deal with PCP and then settle the finance within 14days.
 
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Yea really good debate thanks! :)
I hope my posts come across as just voicing a different opinion (admittidely usually against more popular opinions on here...). Sometimes tone is hard to gauge in written format..!

Agree with all your points and can understand we’re you are coming from! I obviously take a slightly different approach to it all, but then I have a different attitude towards consumer debt.

Definitely good to hear more opinions, especially when they are backed up with interesting insight. I’m always helping friends/family with car purchasing these days so the sort of points raised here definitely come in handy when working out what’s the best method for them.

Personally I’m hoping to get on to an Ecco scheme through work eventually, but that’s a whole other ball game for another time! :grinning:
 
Original PCP's were often sold on the basis that you ut down £xk deposit at at the end of the PCP period the GFRV will be lower than the actual value leaving you with a balance towards your next PCP deposit. If you think about it no Finance Company is going to deliberately set a GFRV lower than the real value of the car.

Ah ok, I’ve not had any experience of this on the PCP front.Large deposits on a pcp kind of seems like missing the point of them to me, but I can see how they could make things easier if you’re planning on coming out early. And if we’re talking bigger bucks like RS3 or RS4 then I can see why you would or might need to then.
 
Ah ok, I’ve not had any experience of this on the PCP front.Large deposits on a pcp kind of seems like missing the point of them to me, but I can see how they could make things easier if you’re planning on coming out early. And if we’re talking bigger bucks like RS3 or RS4 then I can see why you would or might need to then.

A good example of why you need to listen peoples views and not get caught up in the emotional side of 1. I want that car and 2. I can afford £x a month.


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Who's winning?


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A good example of why you need to listen peoples views and not get caught up in the emotional side of 1. I want that car and 2. I can afford £x a month.


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Hey, I only said I've not heard of these old fashioned PCPs where they adjust it so as though you're going to buy it at the end. It makes sense that these days they are made for renting, not for buying. If you want to buy the car, PCP is a bad option (but then that's always been obvious. You've not provided any more wisdom here other than "people used to buy their cars" and "buy what you can afford", thanks for that insight :tonguewink:.
 
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It'll all go pear shaped when interest rates go back up
 
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Stuff PCP, HP, PCH etc etc.

Why don’t we all just by cheap bangers?





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A Fact based on your own circumstances good for you as can pay for your car with cash but keep it longer? l don't have a problem with that at all,but what l do have a problem with is Bad mouthing PCP.....That's through choice as a individual to go down this route @DrEskimo doesnt even have a car now but bible thumps about the severity of interest on PCP,in my eyes that's the price you pay for renting,renting anything is always more expensive than buying out right,but for me personally l can afford it easily and that's the my point affordability.

it seems to be on here with these threads if you rent your car, your a second class citizen,my mother rents her new car this Thursday a wee A1......She could buy 10 of them in cash......but l said dont bother keep yer money in the bank.....just rent

Think if you read my previous comments, I've said that PCP could is good for some, and if you can afford it, then it's your choice. I did say that.

But as the thread was about PCP, and should he/should he not, I have voiced my opinion that `I personally` think they are a bad deal. He has asked for views, and I have aired mine. Should the thread only have received comments saying, "Yes do it. Sod the consequences?"

But sometimes, people need to have a reality check. Yes, it'd nice having something new and shiny every 2/3 years, and maybe a lot of the cars would normally be out of average Joe's price range. Now all of a sudden PCP can get you into an RS3, where before you'd only be able to afford a A3 1.6TFSI by regular means.

We now live in a society where we want things we can't afford to buy, and cheap credit has given us the means to live beyond what our parent were able to afford. Not saying it's wrong, but living on the never never can't be good in the long term.
 
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How does the whole personal loan instead of PCP thing work then? Going on what I pay - if I keep the car the term I'd have paid back a touch over £20,500 (£25,500 if you include my deposit), if I'd have got a loan I'd have had to borrow the whole amount for the car (would I not?) which would have been closer to £38,000, obviously I'd own the car then and could sell for more money after the 4 years but it would have cost me more no?

This is a genuine question, not going to pretend I know any better than anyone else as I don't.
 
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How does the whole personal loan instead of PCP thing work then? Going on what I pay - if I keep the car the term I'd have paid back a touch over £20,500 (£25,500 if you include my deposit), if I'd have got a loan I'd have had to borrow the whole amount for the car (would I not?) which would have been closer to £38,000, obviously I'd own the car then and could sell for more money after the 4 years but it would have cost me more no?

This is a genuine question, not going to pretend I know any better than anyone else as I don't.


Yes, you'd have to borrow the whole amount (minus any deposit) but you are buying the car. With PCP you are renting it only, and paying for the privilege. Which goes back to my previous point. People are happy to rent at X pounds a month, as it gets them a new car every 2/3 years, and they get to drive around in a car way above what a loan would normally afford them to drive.

Dealers push these PCP deals hard. I enquired about a car, a Fiesta ST to replace my Twingo RS as a run-a-round, and before they even asked what my personal situation was financially, they were pushing PCP from the off. Why? Cos `you` the consumer get a new car every few years, and the dealership gets a continuous stream of cars going out every month when peoples PCP deals run out, as buying the car becomes uneconomical.

PCP deals aren't there for your or my good. They are there to make money for car finance companies, dealerships, and car companies.

But in fairness of opinion, and to appease Jassy (so I'm not on my soapbox again) if you want a car you can't afford to buy, and think cheap credit will last, and your circumstances will never change (through redundancy or ill health) leaving you with Thousands in negative equity having to pay off to get out of your contract, then go for it. Sod the RS3 for `just` another £100 a month you can have a £70k RS4 sat on your driveway.
 
You just need to watch the interest rates as they vary widely depending on what car you are buying. (S4 saloon currently 3.2%)

Eg an new S4 saloon @£47000

PCP (3.2%)

Dealer Deposit £3150 + Customer deposit £6850, £10K
PCP over 4 years with a GFV of £20k.
Monthly Payments £430 (total interest paid £3700)


Bank Loan (3.2%)
Customer deposit £6850
Monthly payments £890 (total interest paid £2700)

So an extra £1000 in interest but your monthly payments are £460 less for PCP

It does allow you to get a much better car than you could normally afford but why not and the extra cost is not that much.
 
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You just need to watch the interest rates as they vary widely depending on what car you are buying. (S4 saloon currently 3.2%)

Eg an new S4 saloon @£47000

PCP (3.2%)

Dealer Deposit £3150 + Customer deposit £6850, £10K
PCP over 4 years with a GFV of £20k.
Monthly Payments £430 (total interest paid £3700)


Bank Loan (3.2%)
Customer deposit £6850
Monthly payments £890 (total interest paid £2700)

So an extra £1000 in interest but your monthly payments are £460 less for PCP

It does allow you to get a much better car than you could normally afford but why not and the extra cost is not that much.

Yes! Exactly. 'Lifestyyyyyyyyyle decision'. Let's put this to bed haha. Petrolhead? Get the best car you can without going bonkers and enjoy yourself. Jeeeeez. Just know when to buy a car. I'll be buying my last 1-2 cars and keeping them 8-10years. I.e. RS6 or something.

This thread will never end as it's an individuals decision. But! It is great to know that people can come here and get advice both ways. I'm about to get a nasty shock for my negative equity on my S4 as I want to change. But if it's totally obscene, I'm not going to put myself out. Just a bit of common sense.


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You just need to watch the interest rates as they vary widely depending on what car you are buying. (S4 saloon currently 3.2%)

Eg an new S4 saloon @£47000

PCP (3.2%)

Dealer Deposit £3150 + Customer deposit £6850, £10K
PCP over 4 years with a GFV of £20k.
Monthly Payments £430 (total interest paid £3700)


Bank Loan (3.2%)
Customer deposit £6850
Monthly payments £890 (total interest paid £2700)

So an extra £1000 in interest but your monthly payments are £460 less for PCP

It does allow you to get a much better car than you could normally afford but why not and the extra cost is not that much.

Great point and well made.

Although if I was being pedantic (and you know I will be...:p), the dealer deposit is relatively easy to secure even as a cash buyer, so the difference is about £1400 when you account for that. But £400 does little to change your overall point :) I mean £1400 is no small amount, but for the convenience of paying a smaller monthly fee, I can see the attraction.

But its not just the economic argument I am making against PCP vs other types of loans, its the risk of being in negative equity and having to pay money to get out the deal should your situation change.

Lets assume you take either of the deals above, and after 18months the worst happens and you face redundancy.
Lets assume the cars trade in value is worth the GFV on the Audi Calculator after 18m/20k miles @ £25,800.

The settlement for the PCP loan after 18months would be £31,400. This leaves you a shortfall, or negative equity, of £5,600 to cover and settle the finance in full.
The settlement for the personal loan after 18months would be £23,800. This leaves you with £2k positive equity. You are able to clear the debt and have £2k back in your account.

Any finance against a heavily depreciating asset carries risk, since there is a danger the asset value falls faster than the debt you owe on it (i.e. the asset for which the best is borrowed against is worth less than the debt owed). As you can see, the PCP has far greater risk due to the structure of the loan and the proportion of capital and interest paid per month.

They are fantastic while everything is going great....but life has a habit of throwing a spanner in the works. Best laid plans of mice and men and all that...
 
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Debate is always good, don't personalise it and differing views should be encouraged :)

PCP is a tool designed by the industry to make the car industry more money (it is a financial product after all, albeit currently unregulated).
PCP is a tool designed by the industry to enable people to 'spend' more without feeling they are spending more and get into "better" cars (see previous point).
PCP was not designed in the interests of consumers other than to make them temporarily feel good by getting a nice(r) car.

Manufacturers love PCP as it makes them money and provides a nice supply of nearly new well maintained cars, if PCP works for you and crucially you
understand it then the world is your oyster, if you don't understand it you need to look past the "for just another £100 a month I can afford..........".

For my circumstances, I bought my S3 cash, now if I could have been rsed I could have PCP'd it, invested the capital I would have used buying the car to try and make enough return to offset the cost of the PCP............as DrEskimo says above every option has risks and therefore there is no right answer. Sit down with a spreadsheet and work through the options making sure you understand them and the risks of each, if you do understand the options then you will make the right choice for you.

I live in Europe where PCP is less popular/known about and the difference between the number of expensive cars I see versus when I am back in the UK is staggering, the frequency of S/RS cars in Europe is tiny (I have seen 1 RS3/3 S3s in 3 years) in the UK I seem to see an S3 every time I go out! My local Audi dealer sees 1 S3 a year for service...........mine!!

Sounding a bit middle aged, sorry :)
 
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Debate is always good, don't personalise it and differing views should be encouraged :)

PCP is a tool designed by the industry to make the car industry more money (it is a financial product after all, albeit currently unregulated).
PCP is a tool designed by the industry to enable people to 'spend' more without feeling they are spending more and get into "better" cars (see previous point).
PCP was not designed in the interests of consumers other than to make them temporarily feel good by getting a nice(r) car.

Manufacturers love PCP as it makes them money and provides a nice supply of nearly new well maintained cars, if PCP works for you and crucially you
understand it then the world is your oyster, if you don't understand it you need to look past the "for just another £100 a month I can afford..........".

For my circumstances, I bought my S3 cash, now if I could have been rsed I could have PCP'd it, invested the capital I would have used buying the car to try and make enough return to offset the cost of the PCP............as DrEskimo says above every option has risks and therefore there is no right answer. Sit down with a spreadsheet and work through the options making sure you understand them and the risks of each, if you do understand the options then you will make the right choice for you.

I live in Europe where PCP is less popular/known about and the difference between the number of expensive cars I see versus when I am back in the UK is staggering, the frequency of S/RS cars in Europe is tiny (I have seen 1 RS3/3 S3s in 3 years) in the UK I seem to see an S3 every time I go out! My local Audi dealer sees 1 S3 a year for service...........mine!!

Sounding a bit middle aged, sorry :)

I still can't get my head around how people on here are pulling £30-65k cash out their a***!! There should be another, more elite, forum for you guys


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Great point and well made.

Although if I was being pedantic (and you know I will be...:p), the dealer deposit is relatively easy to secure even as a cash buyer, so the difference is about £1400 when you account for that. But £400 does little to change your overall point :) I mean £1400 is no small amount, but for the convenience of paying a smaller monthly fee, I can see the attraction.

But its not just the economic argument I am making against PCP vs other types of loans, its the risk of being in negative equity and having to pay money to get out the deal should your situation change.

Lets assume you take either of the deals above, and after 18months the worst happens and you face redundancy.
Lets assume the cars trade in value is worth the GFV on the Audi Calculator after 18m/20k miles @ £25,800.

The settlement for the PCP loan after 18months would be £31,400. This leaves you a shortfall, or negative equity, of £5,600 to cover and settle the finance in full.
The settlement for the personal loan after 18months would be £23,800. This leaves you with £2k positive equity. You are able to clear the debt and have £2k back in your account.

Any finance against a heavily depreciating asset carries risk, since there is a danger the asset value falls faster than the debt you owe on it (i.e. the asset for which the best is borrowed against is worth less than the debt owed). As you can see, the PCP has far greater risk due to the structure of the loan and the proportion of capital and interest paid per month.

They are fantastic while everything is going great....but life has a habit of throwing a spanner in the works. Best laid plans of mice and men and all that...

You know what...this is definitely the crux of the argument. Job/financial security is the biggest factor here that I guess most of us are guilty of taking of granted. I'm fortunate enough to have one of the most secure jobs in the land BUT, it should never be taken for granted.

Thoughts on payment protection for these PCPs? Are there other ways of safeguarding in case the worst happens?


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I agree job/financial security should be an important (or the most important) factor, I've been taking it for granted that people would have already weighed that up when looking at £30k + cars no matter what payment method, but I suppose with a PCP it's easier for people to forget if you just look at the monthly.

I'm lucky to be in a very very secure job and profession, although nothing is ever bulletproof. It's interesting that they offer GAP insurance for finance deals to cover totalling the vehicle but I've never been offered payment protection. Maybe PPI has scared people away from offering such things? Even GAP is being described as the new PPI, even though it's actually handy to have as long as you're paying the correct price for it and not some of the crazy prices some retailers come out with.
 
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I agree job/financial security should be an important (or the most important) factor, I've been taking it for granted that people would have already weighed that up when looking at £30k + cars no matter what payment method, but I suppose with a PCP it's easier for people to forget if you just look at the monthly.

I'm lucky to be in a very very secure job and profession, although nothing is ever bulletproof. It's interesting that they offer GAP insurance for finance deals to cover totalling the vehicle but I've never been offered payment protection. Maybe PPI has scared people away from offering such things? Even GAP is being described as the new PPI, even though it's actually handy to have as long as you're paying the correct price for it and not some of the crazy prices some retailers come out with.

Yeah I've got GAP. In all fairness my dealer makes sure it's included in the quote and pretty cheap. Could I get cheaper? Of course. But the extras build towards the two way street I've got with him. My mileage is never questioned etc and I always come back to him. Old fashioned maybe. But I like it. PPI probably has scared many people you're right.

Trying to remember if I was offered it. Think I was. Can't remember how much extra it was though.


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I still can't get my head around how people on here are pulling £30-65k cash out their a***!! There should be another, more elite, forum for you guys


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Some will have decent paid jobs to allow to buy outright, but even with that, that person will have saved. Maybe for a couple years, maybe longer. Plus, it maybe a mixture of savings (deposit) and rest in bank loan.

Again, to my previous point. Years ago, if you wanted a car, you'd save, and save hard. Maybe you'd have to wait years to get the balance right of enough deposit, against a loan where the monthly payments were manageable.

Now? All you need is £1000 deposit, and £600 a month, and you're in a £52k RS3. We `Want` now ! and the finance and car companies are only too willing to make your `Want` become a reality.
 
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I agree job/financial security should be an important (or the most important) factor, I've been taking it for granted that people would have already weighed that up when looking at £30k + cars no matter what payment method, but I suppose with a PCP it's easier for people to forget if you just look at the monthly.

I'm lucky to be in a very very secure job and profession, although nothing is ever bulletproof. It's interesting that they offer GAP insurance for finance deals to cover totalling the vehicle but I've never been offered payment protection. Maybe PPI has scared people away from offering such things? Even GAP is being described as the new PPI, even though it's actually handy to have as long as you're paying the correct price for it and not some of the crazy prices some retailers come out with.

Keep in mind that one of the many factors that caused the Global Financial Crisis in 07/08 was subprime borrowers taking out bigger debts than they could afford and then defaulting on their loans when interest rates went up or they lost their jobs. I don’t think borrowers or lenders have learned.

In chasing profits and good sales numbers - OEMs (particularly in the US) have begun dropping lending criteria, to get more cars sold. They’ve also set GFV’s unrealistically high, to keep monthly payments low - and so have started taking losses on trade-ins.

That doesn’t seem like a sustainable situation to me. US rates went up 25bps in December and are widely assumed to be getting hiked 4x in 2018. We could see some stress in those US manufacturers; I wonder if we might see the same in the UK. There’s an argument that it could be worse in the UK, as our economic performance is slipping behind the rest of the world, imports are getting more expensive, and BREXIT could cause job losses.

I don’t see the PCP merry go-round lasting indefinitely.




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Keep in mind that one of the many factors that caused the Global Financial Crisis in 07/08 was subprime borrowers taking out bigger debts than they could afford and then defaulting on their loans when interest rates went up or they lost their jobs. I don’t think borrowers or lenders have learned.

Very true, but we are dealing with fixed rates here rather than variable so peoples monthly car payments aren't going to change until it's time to start a new deal. At which point they should walk away and buy something more affordable.

Problem is manufacturers won't want many of their PCP customers (80% of new car sales in the UK) to walk away after the deal ends as they would be waving bye to most of their sales. Non-premium brands are keeping interest rates low or even lowering them, you can get a Ford PCP on 1.2% APR (0.9% fixed interest), that was 2.2.% APR a year or two ago. Yes, they are cheaper cars so you finance less money so it should be cheaper interest rates but even premium brands like Range Rover has lowered interest on the Velar to encourage more sales.

Basically I'm saying whilst it does look and is a bit scary, the manufacturers have become reliant on these types of sale now and once consumers start voting with their wallets when interest rates start getting too high I wouldn't be surprised if they start dropping them or freezing them again.
 
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Very true, but we are dealing with fixed rates here rather than variable so peoples monthly car payments aren't going to change until it's time to start a new deal. At which point they should walk away and buy something more affordable.

Problem is manufacturers won't want many of their PCP customers (80% of new car sales in the UK) to walk away after the deal ends as they would be waving bye to most of their sales. Non-premium brands are keeping interest rates low or even lowering them, you can get a Ford PCP on 1.2% APR (0.9% fixed interest), that was 2.2.% APR a year or two ago. Yes, they are cheaper cars so you finance less money so it should be cheaper interest rates but even premium brands like Range Rover has lowered interest on the Velar to encourage more sales.

Basically I'm saying whilst it does look and is a bit scary, the manufacturers have become reliant on these types of sale now and once consumers start voting with their wallets when interest rates start getting too high I wouldn't be surprised if they start dropping them or freezing them again.

Yeah PCP is the primary means of sales in the U.K. And has been a while. Whilst I agree the interest rates could shoot up across the country, the car dealers are going to have to keep us sweet (to some extent) to maintain the mass sales they enjoy now.


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Very true, but we are dealing with fixed rates here rather than variable so peoples monthly car payments aren't going to change until it's time to start a new deal. At which point they should walk away and buy something more affordable.

Problem is manufacturers won't want many of their PCP customers (80% of new car sales in the UK) to walk away after the deal ends as they would be waving bye to most of their sales. Non-premium brands are keeping interest rates low or even lowering them, you can get a Ford PCP on 1.2% APR (0.9% fixed interest), that was 2.2.% APR a year or two ago. Yes, they are cheaper cars so you finance less money so it should be cheaper interest rates but even premium brands like Range Rover has lowered interest on the Velar to encourage more sales.

Basically I'm saying whilst it does look and is a bit scary, the manufacturers have become reliant on these types of sale now and once consumers start voting with their wallets when interest rates start getting too high I wouldn't be surprised if they start dropping them or freezing them again.

Yeah PCP is the primary means of sales in the U.K. And has been a while. Whilst I agree the interest rates could shoot up across the country, the car dealers are going to have to keep us sweet (to some extent) to maintain the mass sales they enjoy now.


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