Mine has not failed after 237K, that speaks volumes!
There was a pole done of this very forum about it, I think it was less than 1%!
We are never going to get the full picture about this but I would bet my life on it it's higher than 1% .
It was only subjected to a recall in South Korea , strangely !
Most with failures I imagine aren't on a VAG forum , get recovered to a dealer or garage , VAG dealers aren't going to release that information..
And discusted some will have turned their back on the marque .
Your longevity of everything is testiment to your great servicing and correct type of journeys which is a minority . Every day is a dpf and egr day .
Those with a 77mm should not ignore , yourself coming from an engineering background I'm astonished as there are multiple engineering faults with oem.
Just Oct 18th a guy on another forum that knew of the issue for 5 years has been bitten and he now wishes he'd upgraded the key and balancer shaft , I don't know how he's got on ( also potential engine and turbo damage ) because he hasn't updated since the 18th but potentially for anyone it's a sub £500 fix or thousands or scrapyard.
And here last month with a 2008 CAGA.
Those who have upgraded as a preventative , highly recommend .
I quote
@BarLyn
"It's mad to think that something so small could cause so much damage! She's getting a new turbo tomorrow as well as her annual service - total bill will come in at around £1600. Considering I've had the car for three years and knew this could/would happen, I'm urging anyone who hasn't done, just get the modified balance shaft - it will save you a lot of pain!"
And
@Mario
" This is the difference between old & new on my car when it came out at about 78,000 miles before it failed completely....
Both posted yesterday .